Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 10
May 19, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Finnvedsvallen

Varnamo
0 - 2
Kalmar


Hasic (16')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ring (31'), Skrabb (35')
Skrabb (44'), Jansson (45'), Motaraghebjafarpour (54')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and Kalmar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varnamo

All competitions
Last Game: Vasteras 0-2 Varnamo
Wednesday, May 15 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Kalmar

All competitions
Last Game: Kalmar 1-1 Norrkoping
Thursday, May 16 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
VarnamoDrawKalmar
40.11% (-0.317 -0.32)25.38% (-0.147 -0.15)34.51% (0.469 0.47)
Both teams to score 56.11% (0.608 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (0.742 0.74)47.66% (-0.736 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (0.68 0.68)69.86% (-0.675 -0.67)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.169 0.17)23.54% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (0.23999999999999 0.24)57.59% (-0.235 -0.23)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (0.639 0.64)26.62% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15% (0.836 0.84)61.85% (-0.832 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 40.11%
    Kalmar 34.51%
    Draw 25.38%
VarnamoDrawKalmar
1-0 @ 9.06% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.29% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.49% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.51%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 28
Kalmar
1-3
Varnamo
Hummet (70')
Friedrich (1')
Zeljkovic (2' pen.), Engvall (52'), Nasstrom (69')
Larsson (39'), Engvall (54')
May 22, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 9
Varnamo
0-1
Kalmar
Shamoun (61')
Kristjan Olafsson (14'), Girmai (24'), Romarinho (34')
Oct 15, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 26
Varnamo
1-3
Kalmar
Johansson (4')
Berg (25'), Sachpekidis (53'), Karlsson (69')
Jun 27, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 11
Kalmar
1-0
Varnamo
Saetra (5')
Saetra (45+3'), Gustafsson (56')

Magashy (34'), Wenderson (49'), Becirovic (87')