Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 9
May 15, 2024 at 6pm UK
Iver Arena (Vasteras)

Vasteras
0 - 2
Varnamo


Magnusson (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Samuel Kalu (45+2'), Engvall (51')
Samuel Kalu (45+2'), Lohikangas (73')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Vasteras SK and Varnamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasteras SK

All competitions
Last Game: GAIS 2-0 Vasteras
Saturday, May 11 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Varnamo

All competitions
Last Game: Varnamo 1-1 Brommapojkarna
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Vasteras SKDrawVarnamo
52.69% (-0.142 -0.14)23.05% (0.014999999999997 0.01)24.26% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (0.068999999999996 0.07)43.04% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (0.067999999999998 0.07)65.44% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Vasteras SK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)16.35% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.04% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)45.95% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (0.142 0.14)31.44% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (0.165 0.16)67.82% (-0.166 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Vasteras SK 52.69%
    Varnamo 24.26%
    Draw 23.05%
Vasteras SKDrawVarnamo
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 52.69%
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 6.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 24.26%