Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Varnamo win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Varnamo	Draw	Malmo
16.32% ( -0.36)	20.02% ( 0.01)	63.66% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 54.59% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.55% (

-0.75)

40.45% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.17% (

-0.78)

62.82% (

0.78)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.08% (

-0.9)

37.92% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.31% (

-0.88)

74.69% (

0.89)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.94% (

-0.13)

12.06% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.42% (

-0.27)

37.57% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Varnamo 16.32%

Malmo 63.66%

Draw 20.02%

Varnamo	Draw	Malmo
2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.32%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.02%	0-2 @ 10.23% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 7.21% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 7% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.81% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.7% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.75% Total : 63.66%