Malmo
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Swedbank Stadion

Malmo
1 - 0
Vasteras

Nanasi (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Douglas (32'), Nsabiyumva (79')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Vasteras SK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Last Game: Varnamo 0-4 Malmo
Monday, April 15 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Vasteras SK

All competitions
Last Game: Vasteras 0-1 Halmstad
Saturday, April 13 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 16.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Vasteras SK win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawVasteras SK
64.98% (0.055999999999997 0.06)18.85% (-0.026 -0.03)16.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.5% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.79% (0.069000000000003 0.07)35.2% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.78% (0.077999999999996 0.08)57.21% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.8% (0.031999999999996 0.03)10.2% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.52% (0.076999999999998 0.08)33.47% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Vasteras SK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.86% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.4% (0.010999999999999 0.01)71.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 64.98%
    Vasteras SK 16.17%
    Draw 18.85%
MalmoDrawVasteras SK
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.94% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 64.98%
1-1 @ 8.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.15%
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.85%
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81%
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 16.17%