Swedish Allsvenskan Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Swedbank Stadion
  • Sebastian Nanasi 82' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Douglas 32'
  • yellowcard Frederic Nsabiyumva 79'

Malmo vs Vasteras SK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Apr 15, 2024 6.00pm
Varnamo 0 - 4 Malmo
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Isaac Kiese Thelin

Vasteras SK

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 4.30pm
Vasteras 0 - 1 Halmstad
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Abdelrahman Saidi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 16.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Vasteras SK win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result

Malmo 64.98% (+0.06)
Draw 18.85% (-0.03)
Vasteras SK 16.17% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.5% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.79% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 35.2% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 42.78% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 57.21% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 24.42% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 75.58% (-0.07)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5 89.8% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 10.2% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 66.52% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 33.47% (-0.08)

Vasteras SK Goals

Over 0.5 65.14% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.86% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.4% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.59% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Malmo 64.98%
Draw 18.85%
Vasteras SK 16.17%
Malmo
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 7.43% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.05% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.92% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.24% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 64.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.55% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.15%
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.85%
Vasteras SK
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.75% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81%
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 16.17%