Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.