Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.