Conference League
Jul 18, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vilniaus LFF stadionas
  • Adama Fofana 45'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Justiniano 83'
  • yellowcard Yevgeni Bashkirov 90'+2'

FK Zalgiris vs Vaasan Palloseura - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 11, 2024 6.00pm
VPS 1 - 2 Zalgiris

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 11, 2024 6.00pm
VPS 1 - 2 Zalgiris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.

Result

FK Zalgiris 59.86% (-0.12)
Draw 21.34% (+0.08)
Vaasan Palloseura 18.79% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.09% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.77% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 42.23% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 35.36% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 64.63% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 18.54% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 81.46% (+0.23)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5 86.28% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 13.72% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 59.03% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 40.96% (+0.26)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5 63.84% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 36.15% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 27.06% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 72.93% (+0.14)

Score analysis

FK Zalgiris 59.86%
Draw 21.34%
Vaasan Palloseura 18.79%
FK Zalgiris
2-1 @ 9.96%
1-0 @ 9.85% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9.78% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 59.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.96% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.34%
Vaasan Palloseura
1-2 @ 5.1% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.05% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.57% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.79%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 11, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Kaarlen kentta
  • Prosper Ahiabu 59' goal
  • Mikko Pitkanen 62' yellowcard
  • Mikko Pitkanen 72' redcard
  • Gleofilo Vlijter 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Miika Niemi 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Miika Niemi 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Adama Fofana 25'
  • goal Jury Kendysh 90'+4'