Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.