Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.