Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.