Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.