Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.