Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Gornik Zabrze	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
51.44% ( -0.34)	22.9% ( -0.04)	25.65% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 59.38% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.97% (

0.54)

41.03% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.57% (

0.55)

63.42% (

-0.55)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.94% (

0.08)

16.06% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.57% (

0.14)

45.43% (

-0.14)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.74% (

0.59)

29.26% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.78% (

0.72)

65.22% (

-0.72)

Score Analysis

Gornik Zabrze 51.45%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 25.65%

Draw 22.9%

Gornik Zabrze	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.45%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.9%	1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 25.65%