Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 20
Feb 7, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
3 - 0
Gornik

Ulvestad (8'), Grosicki (48', 61')
Wahlqvist (39'), Ulvestad (67'), Loncar (79'), Korczakowski (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Janza (33')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Gornik Zabrze.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Szczecin 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, February 1 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Sunday, February 2 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawGornik Zabrze
49.04% (0.085000000000001 0.09)22.98% (0.012 0.01)27.98% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1)
Both teams to score 61.28% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.53% (-0.129 -0.13)39.46% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.19% (-0.135 -0.13)61.81% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)16.34% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.05% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)45.95% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)26.74% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (-0.176 -0.18)62.01% (0.175 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 49.04%
    Gornik Zabrze 27.98%
    Draw 22.98%
Pogon SzczecinDrawGornik Zabrze
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.92% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.17% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59%
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 27.98%

Head to Head
Aug 2, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Gornik
1-0
Szczecin
Zahovic (83')
May 25, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 34
Szczecin
1-0
Gornik
Wedrychowski (67')
Cojocaru (23'), Zech (27'), Gorgon (45+2'), Ulvestad (70')

Triantafyllopoulos (30'), Podolski (70'), Janza (90+3'), Szczesniak (90+5')
Dec 1, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Gornik
1-0
Szczecin
Ennali (5')
Janza (70'), Sekulic (88'), Musiolik (90+2'), Lukoszek (90+4')
Janza (70')

Zech (20'), Bichakhchyan (41')
rhs 2.0


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