Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 19

Feb 1, 2025 at 7.15pm UK

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
1 - 0
Zaglebie Lubin

Grosicki (73')
Gamboa (52'), Paryzek (63'), Loncar (70'), Przyborek (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kurminowski (70'), Dabrowski (77')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Zaglebie Lubin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions

Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-0 Szczecin
Monday, December 9 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions

Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 0-3 Legia
Sunday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon Szczecin	Draw	Zaglebie Lubin
42.72% ( 0.11)	22.48% ( -0.07)	34.81% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 66.9% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.37% (

0.33)

33.64% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.55% (

0.38)

55.45% (

-0.38)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.54% (

0.17)

16.46% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.85% (

0.32)

46.15% (

-0.32)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

0.13)

19.92% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.94% (

0.22)

52.07% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Pogon Szczecin 42.72%

Zaglebie Lubin 34.81%

Draw 22.48%

Pogon Szczecin	Draw	Zaglebie Lubin
2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.6% Total : 42.72%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.48%	1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.93% 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.81%