Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.