Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 56.86%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 21.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Pogon Szczecin	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
56.86% ( -0.61)	21.49% ( 0.2)	21.64% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 59.34% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.16% (

-0.4)

38.84% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.85% (

-0.43)

61.15% (

0.43)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.48% (

-0.31)

13.52% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.42% (

-0.63)

40.58% (

0.63)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.62% (

0.14)

31.38% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.25% (

0.16)

67.75% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Pogon Szczecin 56.86%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 21.64%

Draw 21.49%

Pogon Szczecin	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.53% Total : 56.86%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.49%	1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 21.64%