Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 22.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Celje	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
56.37% ( -0.17)	21.48% ( 0.03)	22.15% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 60.12% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.86% (

0.06)

38.14% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.58% (

0.07)

60.42% (

-0.06)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.56% (

-0.03)

13.44% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.58% (

-0.06)

40.42% (

0.06)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.46% (

0.16)

30.54% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23% (

0.19)

66.77% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Celje 56.37%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 22.15%

Draw 21.48%

Celje	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 56.37%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.48%	1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 22.15%