Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Primorje had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Primorje win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.