Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Primorje had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Primorje win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.

Result
Primorje	Draw	Celje
24.1% ( -0.23)	22.98% ( -0.14)	52.92% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 57.43% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.15% (

0.39)

42.85% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.75% (

0.39)

65.25% (

-0.39)

Primorje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.53% (

0.02)

31.47% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.15% (

0.02)

67.85% (

-0.03)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.8% (

0.27)

16.2% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.32% (

0.49)

45.68% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Primorje 24.1%

Celje 52.92%

Draw 22.97%

Primorje	Draw	Celje
2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 24.1%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.97%	1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.92%