Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Koper win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Primorje had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Koper win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Primorje win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.