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UEFA Conference League

Celje
Conference League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele
Istanbul Basaksehir

Celje
5 - 1
Istanbul

Svetlin (5'), Brnic (30'), Seslar (34'), Kucys (51', 77')
Turuc (37')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Pelkas (75')
Ba (24'), Ozdemir (35'), Opoku (70'), Davidson (74'), Zec (81')
Atan (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Celje and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Celje 4-3 NS Mura
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Istanbul
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.

Result
CeljeDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
44.53% (0.091999999999999 0.09)24.68% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)30.79% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.18% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31% (0.053000000000004 0.05)45.69% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99% (0.052 0.05)68.01% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (0.063000000000002 0.06)20.6% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.86% (0.097999999999999 0.1)53.15% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)28% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)63.64% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Celje 44.53%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 30.79%
    Draw 24.68%
CeljeDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.79%

How you voted: Celje vs Istanbul

Celje
28.6%
Draw
32.1%
Istanbul Basaksehir
39.3%
56