Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 3
Sep 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadyum Samsun
Istanbul Basaksehir

Samsunspor
2 - 0
Istanbul

Mouandilmadji (65'), van Drongelen (72')
Yavru (34'), Kilinc (68'), Mouandilmadji (76'), Bola (90+6'), Yuksel (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Duarte (49'), Ozdemir (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 0-1 Konyaspor
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Bodrumspor 0-1 Istanbul
Saturday, September 14 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
SamsunsporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
26.65% (1.913 1.91)26.6% (-0.189 -0.19)46.75% (-1.723 -1.72)
Both teams to score 48.52% (2.089 2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.27% (1.916 1.92)55.73% (-1.916 -1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13% (1.539 1.54)76.87% (-1.538 -1.54)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (2.723 2.72)36.3% (-2.72 -2.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91% (2.659 2.66)73.09% (-2.658 -2.66)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.83% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 26.65%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 46.75%
    Draw 26.6%
SamsunsporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.37% (0.463 0.46)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.319 0.32)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.298 0.3)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.215 0.22)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.208 0.21)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 26.65%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.659 -0.66)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.335 0.34)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 12.4% (-0.94 -0.94)
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.663 -0.66)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.162 0.16)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 46.75%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Istanbul

Samsunspor
17.6%
Draw
10.3%
Istanbul Basaksehir
72.1%
68
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 10.30am
Gameweek 28
Istanbul
1-0
Samsunspor
Aleksic (47')

Antalyali (69'), Celik (76'), van Drongelen (83')
Mouandilmadji (34')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Samsunspor
0-0
Istanbul
Kilinc (41'), Mouandilmadji (82')
Dubois (51'), Ba (82')
> Preview