Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.