Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadyum Samsun
Besiktas

Samsunspor
0 - 2
Besiktas


Muja (21'), van Drongelen (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Silva (31'), Paulista (36')
Masuaku (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawBesiktas
31.23% (-0.478 -0.48)26.79% (0.079000000000001 0.08)41.98% (0.4 0.4)
Both teams to score 50.54% (-0.426 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (-0.46 -0.46)54.38% (0.462 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.25% (-0.384 -0.38)75.75% (0.386 0.39)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92% (-0.572 -0.57)32.08% (0.573 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45% (-0.655 -0.65)68.55% (0.65600000000001 0.66)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41%25.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54%60.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 31.23%
    Besiktas 41.97%
    Draw 26.79%
SamsunsporDrawBesiktas
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.31% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.23%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 11.18% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.63% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.97%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Besiktas

Samsunspor
7.7%
Draw
2.6%
Besiktas
89.7%
39
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 32
Besiktas
1-1
Samsunspor
Kilicsoy (18')
Ghezzal (72')
Kilinc (68')
Holse (48'), Dimata (90+2')
Nov 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 13
Samsunspor
1-2
Besiktas
Mouandilmadji (25')
Satka (45+1'), Mouandilmadji (58')
Tosun (17'), Colley (84')
Rosier (42')
rhs 2.0


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