Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vefa Stadi
  • Tonio Teklic 15' yellowcard
  • Marcao 42' goal
  • Ryan Mendes 50' goal
  • Valentin Eysseric 70' yellowcard
  • Guven Yalcin 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Haluk Mustafa Tan 39'
  • goal Soner Aydogdu 57'
  • redcard Yunus Cift 72'

Fatih Karagumruk vs Samsunspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
May 18, 2024 5.00pm
Gaziantep 3 - 1 Karagumruk
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Guven Yalcin

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
May 18, 2024 5.00pm
Samsunspor 1 - 1 Alanyaspor
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Marius Mouandilmadji

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result

Fatih Karagumruk 43.4% (-0.18)
Draw 24.99% (+0.05)
Samsunspor 31.61% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.5% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.26% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 46.74% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 31% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 69% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 15.37% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 84.63% (+0.10)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5 78.45% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 21.55% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 45.37% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 54.63% (+0.23)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 72.03% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.97% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.39% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.61% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 43.4%
Draw 24.99%
Samsunspor 31.61%
Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 9.25% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 43.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.03% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.99%
Samsunspor
0-1 @ 7.68% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.51% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.89% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.61%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 16' yellowcard
  • Taylan Antalyali 30' yellowcard
  • Ercan Kara 84' goal
  • yellowcard Valentin Eysseric 24'
  • yellowcard Can Keles 64'
  • yellowcard Davide Biraschi 90'+3'