Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Konyaspor win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Konyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Konyaspor would win this match.