Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gaziantep Stadyumu

Gaziantep
3 - 1
Karagumruk

Ersoy (46'), Jevtovic (89'), Monteiro (90+9')
Badji (31'), Jevtovic (90+1'), Markovic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marcao (66')
Kourbelis (39'), Rohden (90+1')
Ceccherini (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Gaziantep and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gaziantep

All competitions
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-6 Gaziantep
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-3 Galatasaray
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.

Result
GaziantepDrawFatih Karagumruk
31.57% (0.043000000000003 0.04)26.15% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)42.28% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.32% (0.042000000000002 0.04)51.68% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.54% (0.036999999999999 0.04)73.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (0.049999999999997 0.05)30.46% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (0.058999999999997 0.06)66.67% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)24.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43%58.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gaziantep 31.57%
    Fatih Karagumruk 42.28%
    Draw 26.14%
GaziantepDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.57%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 10.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 42.28%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 18
Karagumruk
0-3
Gaziantep

Lasagna (29'), Ceccherini (56'), Feghouli (90+1')
Dragus (27'), Gradel (49'), Nkoulou (87')
Markovic (36')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 33
Gaziantep
P-P
Karagumruk
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 14
Karagumruk
3-3
Gaziantep
Baniya (32', 52'), Kouassi (69')
Ersoy (13'), Figueiredo (20'), Merkel (65')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 20
Gaziantep
3-1
Karagumruk
Soyalp (6'), Demir (18'), Figueiredo (73')
Merkel (50')
Mor (50')
Torun (10'), Erkin (39'), Bekaroglu (86')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 1
Karagumruk
3-2
Gaziantep
Djilobodji (10' og.), Pesic (19'), Musa (90')
Pesic (50'), Biglia (81')
Sagal (17' pen.), Djilobodji (90+4')
Sagal (37'), Mendyl (59')
Sagal (45+2')