Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 35
May 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
Kadir Has Sehir Stadi

Kayserispor
2 - 2
Karagumruk

Mane (3'), Boa Morte (64')
Mane (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Feghouli (51'), Marcao (60')
Kourbelis (67'), Ceccherini (80'), Eysseric (87')
Feghouli (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kayserispor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kayserispor

All competitions
Last Game: Pendikspor 1-2 Kayserispor
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-1 Antalyaspor
Monday, April 29 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
KayserisporDrawFatih Karagumruk
41.78% (0.07 0.07)25.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)33.05% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.47% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)47.02% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)69.26% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.57% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)22.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)55.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)27.2% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (-0.127 -0.13)62.61% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Kayserispor 41.78%
    Fatih Karagumruk 33.05%
    Draw 25.16%
KayserisporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 41.78%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.05%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 16
Karagumruk
4-1
Kayserispor
Rohden (23', 38', 41'), Lasagna (52')
Boa Morte (45+2')
Ozbek (57'), Ucar (58'), Ali Kaldirim (68')
> Preview
May 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 36
Karagumruk
2-0
Kayserispor
Frei (16', 28')
Bertolacci (57'), Dresevic (77')

Cardoso (82'), Mensah (86')
Ackah (9')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Kayserispor
2-4
Karagumruk
Mensah (57' pen.), Parlak (72')
Mercan (1'), Diagne (12', 63'), Shukurov (47')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 30
Karagumruk
3-0
Kayserispor
Mor (10', 36', 75')
Biglia (47'), Bekaroglu (69')

Hosseini (56'), Pektemek (81'), Bertolacci (88')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 11
Kayserispor
2-1
Karagumruk
Gavranovic (73'), Thiam (90+3')
Bulut (76'), Kemen (86')
Bulut (88')
Bertolacci (23')
Biglia (14'), Viviano (29'), Borini (49')
Luckassen (61')
> Preview