Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 71.41%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 11.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for an Antalyaspor win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.