Istanbul Basaksehir
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Antalyaspor logo (not for use in articles)

Istanbul
5 - 2
Antalyaspor

Figueiredo (43'), Turuc (62'), Piatek (64', 72', 81')
Piatek (76')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Larsson (2', 2', 41')
Rakip (23'), Safouri (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Antalyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 St Patrick's
Wednesday, August 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Antalyaspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 3-2 Hatayspor
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 71.41%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 11.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for an Antalyaspor win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawAntalyaspor
71.41% (0.051000000000002 0.05)17.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)11.32% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.05% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (-0.288 -0.29)39.33% (0.285 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.33% (-0.3 -0.3)61.67% (0.298 0.3)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.24% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)9.75% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.55% (-0.143 -0.14)32.45% (0.142 0.14)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.45% (-0.314 -0.31)44.54% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.43% (-0.255 -0.25)80.57% (0.254 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 71.4%
    Antalyaspor 11.32%
    Draw 17.28%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawAntalyaspor
2-0 @ 11.76% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 10.11% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.13% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.31% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.47%
5-1 @ 2% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.026 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 71.4%
1-1 @ 8.18% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.34% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 17.28%
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.31% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 11.32%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Antalyaspor

Istanbul Basaksehir
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Antalyaspor
0.0%
21
Head to Head
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Gameweek 16
Istanbul
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Turuc (57'), Aleksic (66')
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Istanbul
0-1
Antalyaspor

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Wright (20')
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