Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.