Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38

May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK

5 Ocak Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Adana Demirspor
2 - 6
Istanbul

Aydogan (37' pen.), Mendoza (88')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Piatek (5', 13', 68' pen.), Ozcan (40'), Davidson (44'), Figueiredo (90+1')
Turuc (36'), Ergun (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Adana Demirspor and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adana Demirspor

All competitions

Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-1 Adana Demirspor
Friday, May 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions

Last Game: Istanbul 0-1 Trabzonspor
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Adana Demirspor	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
36.68% ( 0.19)	24.78% ( 0.02)	38.53% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 58.54% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.35% (

-0.1)

44.65% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.98% (

-0.1)

67.01% (

0.09)

Adana Demirspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02% (

0.06)

23.98% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.78% (

0.08)

58.21% (

-0.09)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77% (

-0.16)

23% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19% (

-0.23)

56.81% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Adana Demirspor 36.68%

Istanbul Basaksehir 38.53%

Draw 24.78%

Adana Demirspor	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 36.68%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78%	1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.53%