Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Trabzonspor in this match.