Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Saburtalo Tbilisi had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Saburtalo Tbilisi win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.