UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 15, 2024 at 6.45pm UK

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
2 - 0
Saburtalo Tbilisi

(Istanbul Basaksehir win 3-0 on aggregate)

Piatek (50'), Pelkas (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mamageishvili (3'), Nonikashvili (40'), Jgerenaia (43'), Kokhreidze (60'), Akhvlediani (72'), Jinjolava (72')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Saburtalo Tbilisi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 1-1 Istanbul
Monday, August 12 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Saburtalo Tbilisi

All competitions

Last Game: Saburtalo Tbilisi 0-1 Istanbul
Thursday, August 8 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Saburtalo Tbilisi had a probability of 18.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Saburtalo Tbilisi win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Saburtalo Tbilisi
60.41% ( -0.16)	20.76% ( 0.06)	18.83% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 57.19% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.51% (

-0.15)

39.49% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.17% (

-0.16)

61.83% (

0.16)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.31% (

-0.09)

12.68% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.13% (

-0.19)

38.87% (

0.19)

Saburtalo Tbilisi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.5% (

0.01)

34.49% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.79% (

0.01)

71.21% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 60.41%

Saburtalo Tbilisi 18.83%

Draw 20.76%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Saburtalo Tbilisi
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.33% 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.69% Total : 60.41%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.76%	1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 18.83%