UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 21, 2022 at 5pm UK

Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

Saburtalo Tbilisi
1 - 0
FCSB

(FCSB win 4-3 on aggregate)

Nonikashvili (41')
Goshteliani (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Olaru (22'), Popescu (33'), Dawa (64'), Harut (75')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Saburtalo Tbilisi and FCSB.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saburtalo Tbilisi

Last Game: Partizani Tirana 0-1 Saburtalo Tbilisi (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 14 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

FCSB

Last Game: Shakhtyor Karaganda 2-1 FCSB (5-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 29 at 2pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saburtalo Tbilisi win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saburtalo Tbilisi win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest FCSB win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saburtalo Tbilisi would win this match.

Result
Saburtalo Tbilisi	Draw	FCSB
39.43%	23.74%	36.84%

Both teams to score 62.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.39%

39.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.04%

61.96%

Saburtalo Tbilisi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64%

20.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.24%

52.76%

FCSB Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.38%

21.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.28%

54.72%

Score Analysis

Saburtalo Tbilisi 39.43%

FCSB 36.84%

Draw 23.73%

Saburtalo Tbilisi	Draw	FCSB
2-1 @ 8.54% 1-0 @ 7% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.99% Total : 39.43%	1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 8.22% 0-1 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.84%