Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 50.97%. A win for Saburtalo Tbilisi had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Saburtalo Tbilisi win was 1-0 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Istanbul Basaksehir in this match.