Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for La Fiorita had a probability of 12.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.66%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a La Fiorita win it was 1-0 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.