Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Varosi Stadion (Mezokovesd)

Isloch
0 - 1
La Fiorita


Senko (40')
FT
(aet)
Semprini (87')
Scipioni (90+1'), Guerri (110'), Mazzotti (114'), Toccaceli (117')
La Fiorita win 3-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Isloch and La Fiorita.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: La Fiorita 0-1 Isloch
Thursday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: La Fiorita 0-1 Isloch
Thursday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Fiorita win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Isloch had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a La Fiorita win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Isloch win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%).

Result
IslochDrawLa Fiorita
33.66% (0.377 0.38)26.16% (0.137 0.14)40.17% (-0.514 -0.51)
Both teams to score 53.31% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (-0.487 -0.49)51.18% (0.488 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (-0.428 -0.43)73.02% (0.428 0.43)
Isloch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16%28.84% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
La Fiorita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)25.08% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-0.678 -0.68)59.77% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Isloch 33.66%
    La Fiorita 40.17%
    Draw 26.15%
IslochDrawLa Fiorita
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.174 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.59% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.66%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 10% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.17%

Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 7.45pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
La Fiorita
0-1
Isloch

Felipe Affonso Rodrigues (8'), Guerri (90')
Butsko (34')
Gomanov (67')