Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 44.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Isloch had a probability of 26.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Isloch win it was 0-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.