Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 42.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 28.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 1-0 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.