Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 10
May 24, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadyen Central'ny Vitsyebski

Vitebsk
2 - 0
Naftan

Vardanyan (20'), Girs (39')
Egorov (44'), Kharitonov (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kuchinskiy (37')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Vitebsk and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitebsk

All competitions
Last Game: FC Minsk 1-2 Vitebsk
Saturday, May 18 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Naftan

All competitions
Last Game: Naftan 2-1 Dnepr Mogilev
Saturday, May 18 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 12.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Vitebsk in this match.

Result
VitebskDrawNaftan
67.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02)19.21% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)12.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (0.022999999999996 0.02)44.32% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.021000000000001 0.02)66.69% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Vitebsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.98% (0.013000000000005 0.01)12.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.52% (0.025999999999996 0.03)37.48% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.76% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)45.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)81.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Vitebsk 67.96%
    Naftan 12.82%
    Draw 19.21%
VitebskDrawNaftan
2-0 @ 12.2%
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 8.62% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 3.62% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 67.96%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.21%
0-1 @ 4.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.02%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 12.82%

rhs 2.0


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