Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.