Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.