Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.