Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 27.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Torpedo-BelAZ win it was 1-0 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.