Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 72.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 9.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.82%) and 0-3 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Energetik-BGU win it was 1-0 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.