Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 26.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Energetik-BGU win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.