Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.