Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnepr Mogilev win with a probability of 63.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnepr Mogilev win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.87%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.