Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.