Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Gomel win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.