Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-0 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.