Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 44%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Isloch in this match.