Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for La Fiorita had a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a La Fiorita win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.