Istanbul Basaksehir
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
6 - 1
La Fiorita

Ozcan (5'), Davidson (13'), Figueiredo (29', 49'), Kemen (43'), Piatek (71')
Djalo (73')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Greco (58')
Mazzotti (56'), Greco (74')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and La Fiorita.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zeleznicar 1-2 Istanbul
Wednesday, July 10 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 2
Last Game: Isloch 0-1 La Fiorita (2-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 18 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for La Fiorita had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a La Fiorita win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawLa Fiorita
62.6% (0.086999999999996 0.09)20.57% (-0.032 -0.03)16.83% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.77% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92% (0.027999999999999 0.03)42.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (0.030000000000001 0.03)64.48% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)12.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.76% (0.07 0.07)39.23% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
La Fiorita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)38.3% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (-0.052 -0.05)75.05% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 62.59%
    La Fiorita 16.83%
    Draw 20.57%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawLa Fiorita
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.08% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.63% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 62.59%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.57%
0-1 @ 4.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 16.83%

rhs 2.0


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