Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.